Minnesota vs. Michigan best bet: Wolverines will dominate

The Michigan Wolverines will host the Minnesota Golden Gophers in Sunday afternoon Big Ten basketball action.

Let’s be honest, Michigan has struggled on the road this season. They’re 1-3 in the Big Ten when playing away from their home court, but thankfully, they return home today after losing at Maryland on Thursday.

Let’s dive into the odds for the game and then I’ll give you my best bet.

Minnesota vs. Michigan odds, spread, and total

Minnesota vs. Michigan prediction and pick

Michigan is going to be able to dominate Minnesota in this game. At least that’s what I’m going to bet on.

The Golden Gophers struggle in a lot of areas, including shooting heading into today, they rank 274th in effective field goal percentage. They also manage to only score at least one point on 43.8% of their possessions, which ranks 314th in the country.

With that being said, their biggest issues is giving up possessions. There is a stat out there that’s called “extra scoring chances per game“, which factors in offensive rebounding, turnovers, and steals.

Minnesota ranks 321st in college basketball in extra scoring chances per game, with an average margin of -3.7. That leaves them susceptible to not only lose, but to lose with margin, which is what we need when we back Michigan today.

The Wolverines’ defense comes to life at home. Their opponent effective field goal percentage is 9.1% lower on their home court.

So, with all of that in consideration, give me Michigan to win and cover today.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.