5-star QB CJ Carr is trending away from Michigan Football

Michigan football legacy CJ Carr is a five-star quarterback in the 2024 class and is now trending to Notre Dame. 

While Michigan football hosted some top targets on campus over the weekend in four-star cornerbacks Daniel Harris and Jordan Matthews, among others, the biggest recruiting news of the weekend was a pair of new expert projections for 2024 top target CJ Carr.

Carr is the grandson of former Michigan football head coach Lloyd Carr, who led the Wolverines to the national championship in 1997 and a slew of Big Ten championships. He’s also a five-star quarterback and ranked 25th overall in the 2024 class, as well as No. 1 in the state.

Of course, with his ties to U-M, it would seem like a solid in for the Wolverines and for a time, Michigan football was viewed as the favorite for Carr, getting multiple expert projections.

However, the momentum has totally shifted in his recruitment. Notre Dame has made a move, just as it did with Dante Moore, and while Alabama, LSU, and Georgia have all gotten into the mix too, the Irish are the team making the biggest impact on Carr right now.

Steve Wiltfong put in a crystal ball for Carr back in May and Tom Loy of Irish Illustrated followed that up with a crystal ball projection of his own on Sunday. EJ Holland of the Wolverine also projected Carr to Notre Dame and according to the On3.com prediction machine, the Irish have a 94-percent chance of landing Carr.

What it means for Michigan football

At one point, the Irish also had an 89-percent chance of landing Dante Moore according to On3’s prediction machine, and now that’s down to 37 percent. If the Irish take Carr, that should drop their chances with Moore even further.

I’ve said all along I don’t see Moore and Carr ending up at the same school. They are both five-star prospects and both want to play. Notre Dame will obviously keep recruiting Moore if it gets Carr, just as Michigan would, but it could be a good sign down the road for Dante Moore.

Moore is expected to visit Texas A&M later this month. However, Jaden Rashada, who just visited the Aggies, is expected to decide on June 18, right around when Moore is expected to be on campus. If the Aggies take him and Oregon adds Avery Johnson, which is also a possibility this month, it could be a Michigan-Notre Dame-LSU battle for Moore and that’s one Michigan can win.

As far as the 2024 class, it will hurt to miss on Carr, especially if the Wolverines miss on Moore too. But the Wolverines hosted another 2024 quarterback this weekend in Jadyn Davis and have also been recruiting Michael Van Buren really hard out of St. Frances Academy in Maryland.

So there are options and it’s still early in the 2024 class but it’s still less than ideal to see Carr trending towards Notre Dame football.