Best Bet for Penn State vs. Michigan (Wolverines will ride momentum)

Jan 1, 2023; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Michigan Wolverines forward Will Tschetter (42) high-fives guard Joey Baker (15) during the second half of the game against the Maryland Terrapins at Crisler Center. Mandatory Credit: Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 1, 2023; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Michigan Wolverines forward Will Tschetter (42) high-fives guard Joey Baker (15) during the second half of the game against the Maryland Terrapins at Crisler Center. Mandatory Credit: Brian Bradshaw Sevald-USA TODAY Sports /
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A Big Ten battle is set to go down on Wednesday night when the Penn State Nittany Lions head to the Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines.

The Wolverines enter the game coming off a massive Big Ten win, crushing Maryland 81-46.

Michigan looks to carry that momentum into this week after a disappointing start to the season that saw Big Blue go just 6-5 in its out-of-conference schedule.

With that part of their schedule in the rearview mirror, they’re 2-0 in Big Ten play. Can they improve to 3-0 in conference play tonight?

Whether they do or not, if you bet $5 on the game, you’ll win $200 with DraftKings’ amazing new promo.

Now, let’s take a look at the odds and my pick for the game.

Penn State vs. Michigan odds, spread, and total

Penn State vs. Michigan prediction and pick

Let’s put their out-of-conference record behind us. Michigan is going to improve to 3-0 tonight when it takes on Penn State.

The biggest advantage the Nittany Lions hold over opponents is their ability to hold on to the ball and not turn it over. They lead the country in the lowest turnover rate, coughing the ball up on only 12.7% of their possessions. So, game after game, they almost always hold a significant advantage in the turnover department.

Well, that advantage won’t be present tonight. Penn State may lead the country in turnovers per possession, but Michigan is right behind the Nittany Lions, ranking second in turnovers per possession.

Penn State may also struggle to get much going on offense. The Lions rank 12th in college basketball in three-point shot rate, with 47.6% of their shots coming from three-point range. Now, they face a Michigan team that has allowed teams to hit only 24.3% of their three-point shots over their last three games.

With Michigan at home, I think we’re getting a couple of points of value on the Wolverines’ point spread.

After all, it’s basketball season now. Let’s just forget about what happened at the end of Michigan’s football season.

You can track Iain’s bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.